The power rankings on Fancy Stats take into account a team’s actual record (once the season begins), what their record should be based on points scored and allowed, also known as their Pythagorean win percentage, and how much better or worse their opponents are in relation to an 8-8 team. A good team playing against good opponents will be near the top while those who struggle against mediocre or poor teams will trend toward the bottom.
The 2007 New England Patriots went 16-0 in the regular season with a plus-315 point differential against opponents who averaged 7.5 wins for the season, earning them a power ranking of 87. The 2008 Detroit Lions went 0-16 with a minus-249 point differential against opponents who averaged 9.6 wins for the season, earning them a power ranking of 11.
However, Jordan is the member of the team most often mentioned in trade talk these days, and he’s been injured for the past four games while the team has kept playing well.
Add in guys like Milos Teodosic (available in 86.2 percent of leagues; 11.2 points, 5.8 assists, 2.8 3-pointers, 2.8 rebounds during his past five games since return from his latest injury), and the Clip Show has a lot of interesting parts right now.
Just because no meaningful games have been played doesn’t mean we won’t try to get an idea of who the best and worst teams will be. For starters, that analysis will help inform our weekly NFL picks, which you’ll find below.
To establish our preseason power rankings, we started with the point spreads released by Cantor Technology for every NFL game in Weeks 1-16 — Week 17 is excluded because players sitting out the final week and teams jockeying for playoff positioning make projections fairly erratic — and turned those into a Simple Rating System, which was then used to determine each teams projected win-loss records, their opponents’ win-loss records and, finally, their power ranking using a scale of 1 to 100, with higher numbers indicating better teams.
WR Stefon Diggs vs. Eagles CB Jalen Mills: Diggs isn’t done exploding after that 61-yard prayer that allowed the Vikings to advance to the championship game. Mills can’t stay with Diggs and his game-breaking ability.