The New England Patriots are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread on the road this season. With one more road win this Sunday against the Miami Dolphins, the Patriots would secure home field throughout the postseason.
New England is a 9.5-point road favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Patriots are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against the Dolphins.
The Patriots have been on cruise control on offense since the return of Tom Brady, boasting a 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS record over their last 11 games. But Brady isn’t the only reason that the Patriots are excelling; the team ranks eighth in the NFL in rushing with 116.8 yards per game and best in the NFL in scoring defense allowing only 15.7 points per game. With New England playing so well at every level, home field throughout the playoffs would certainly strike fear into the rest of the conference.
In New England’s last 21 games as a betting favorite of a touchdown or more, the Patriots are 18-3 SU and 12-6-3 ATS per the OddsShark NFL Database.
First off, if you’re reading this, you’re probably still alive in your Survivor League. Take a moment and pat yourself on the back. Getting to Week 17 is no easy feat. And if you still have Seattle or New England available in your league, stop patting and start popping — the champagne, that is. You are going to win your league.
And if you don’t have one of those two sure things, the key to ultimate survival is investing in those teams who are still invested in their seasons. Tampa Bay, Washington, Oakland, Green Bay, and Detroit immediately come to mind as teams with something important still to play for. Of that group, I would be looking at Tampa Bay and Oakland first because their opponents are at the opposite end of the spectrum.
Teams that reach the Super Bowl one year often struggle mightily the next, and Denver and Carolina were no exceptions in 2016. Check the news this week, as it’s likely both teams could sit key members on both sides of the ball, making the road to victory even smoother for the Bucs and Raiders.